Jihun Lee / Case Studies

Playbook 02 · Grow

Reading Market Reaction Every Week:
From Social Buzz to the Forecast

UGCYouTube · Instagram · TikTok
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Market reactionwhat fans post, use and share
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Marketing teamweekly read and next moves

The starting point

Every week I summarized how the market reacted on YouTube, Instagram and TikTok and shared it with marketing. One question from those reads: do some songs rise when it rains? I tested it across the entire catalog.

Correlation of daily streams with rainfall · domestic, Feb–Sep 2022
새벽공방 · Sun Shower (여우비)
0.72
럼블피쉬 · 비와 당신
0.68
공기남 · 비를 내려줘요
0.66
공기남 · 오늘, 비
0.64
류태열 · 비가 내려오네
0.58

Pearson r. The same songs move opposite to sunshine hours (r ≈ −0.53) and solar radiation (r ≈ −0.62).

How I did it

I joined daily streams with Korea Meteorological Administration data (rainfall, temperature, sunshine and more) and correlated every track: ~17K domestic and ~6K international.

Most songs ignore the weather. Only about a dozen cross r > 0.5 with rainfall, a shortlist sharp enough to act on.

Outcome

A short, evidence-based list of rain songs, and a clear signal for when to push them.

For a company entering APACEvery market has its own signals: social buzz, weather, seasons, platform habits. I track the ones that move your product and time the launch to them.

Entering Korea or APAC? Let's talk.

Open to Korea & APAC Market Entry and Strategy roles, and advisory projects.